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Nhan Dan Online - Wealthier countries must take the lead in
cutting carbon emission to prevent catastrophic reversals in
health, education and poverty reduction for the world’s poor,
while providing incentives for developing countries to follow
suit, says the 2007/2008 Human Development Report (HDI) on
climate change launched in Hanoi today.
The report entitled “Fighting climate change: Human solidarity
in a divided world” The UNDP report paints an alarming picture
of climate change and urges richer countries to cut greenhouse
gas emissions by at least 80% by 2050, with cuts of 30% by
2020.
On its first page, the document states that "climate change is
now a scientifically established fact. We know enough to
recognise that there are large risks, potentially catastrophic
ones."
The report sets out a pathway for climate change negotiations
in Bali, Indonesia and stresses that a narrow ten-year window
of opportunity remains to put it into practice. If that window
is missed, temperature rises of above two degrees Celsius
could see the disappearance of the Himalayan glaciers that
provide water and food for over two billion people, the
displacement of 22 million people in Vietnam and the
destruction of 45% of Mekong Delta farmland as sea levels
continue to rise.
“Already people are feeling the effects of rising temperatures
in Vietnam. Floods and storms are hammering coastal areas and
climate change is making that worse,” said John Hendra, UN
Resident Co-ordinator in Vietnam at the report’s launch.
He estimated that the country would be one of the most
affected by climate change and at the same time, a nation with
the opportunity and influence to affect international
decisions, including at the upcoming UN global conference on
climate change in Bali.
Climate change could have apocalyptic consequences for the
world's poor and tackling it will require cuts in greenhouse
gases costing 1.6% of global annual GDP, the UN Development
Program said in a report Tuesday.
"This is not an insignificant investment. But it represents
less than two-thirds of global military spending. The costs of
inaction could be much higher," the UNDP report said.
"It is the poorest who did not, and still are not contributing
significantly to greenhouse gas emissions that are the most
vulnerable."
“The critical challenge for Asia in the face of climate change
is to expand access to affordable energy, while at the same
time decarbonising growth,” said UNDP Administrator Kemal
Dervi, stressing that “international co-operation is vital to
unlock win-win scenarios that enhance both the climate
security and the energy security that are vital for growth and
poverty reduction.”
The report emphasises that a key driver of growing emissions
is deforestation, though the profit made from felling trees
across the developing world could be dwarfed by the benefits
of conservation. The proposed reductions in emissions are
"stringent but affordable," the report says.
Above all, it challenges the entire human community to
undertake prompt and strong collective action based on shared
values and a shared vision.
The report recommends establishing a Climate Change Mitigation
Facility (CCMF), financed by developed countries and designed
to provide incentives, including access to clean energy
technology, to guide developing countries to a greener
development pathway. This is essential because developing
countries will be responsible for an increasing share of
emissions, say the authors.
The aim of the UN report was to encourage countries to
confront the problem, said Ken Watkins, a member of the expert
team that prepared the document.
"We are issuing a call to action, not providing a counsel of
despair. Working together with resolve, we can win the battle
against climate change," Watkins said.
The report concludes that “one of the hardest lessons taught
by climate change is that the economic model which drives
growth and the profligate consumption in rich nations that
goes with it, is ecologically unsustainable.” But the authors
argue, “with the right reforms, it is not too late to cut
greenhouse gas emissions to sustainable levels without
sacrificing economic growth: that rising prosperity and
climate security are not conflicting objectives.”
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Pathway for
Bali
Fighting
climate change lays out a definitive checklist for all
political leaders meeting in Bali in December— a pathway
for a binding and enforceable post 2012 multilateral
agreement that the authors stress will be essential to
buttress our planet and its poorest people against the
worst impacts of climate change:
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Cut emissions from developing countries by 20% by
2050 and from developed countries by 30% by 2020 and at
least 80% by 2050, compared to 1990 levels.
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Create a Climate Change Mitigation Facility to
finance the incremental low-carbon energy investment in
developing countries, to give them both the means to
switch to low emission pathways and the incentive to
commit to binding international emission cuts. This would
need an investment of US $25-50 billion annually.
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Put a proper price on carbon through a
combination of carbon taxation and an PR-ASI A-5 ambitious
global expansion of cap-and-trade schemes.
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Strengthen regulatory standards by adopting and
enforcing tougher efficiency standards on vehicle,
building and electrical appliance emissions.
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Support the development of low carbon energy
provision, recognizing unexploited potential for an
increase in the share of renewable energy used and the
need for urgent investment in breakthrough technologies
such as carbon capture and storage (CCS).
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Allocate US $86 billion, or 0.2% of northern
countries’ combined GDP to adaptation to climate proof
infrastructure and build the resilience of the poor to the
effects of climate change.
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Make adaptation part of all plans to reduce
poverty and extreme inequality, including poverty
reduction strategy papers (PRSPs).
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Recognize carbon sequestration on forests and
land as essential parts of a future global agreement and
back international finance transfer plans on deforestation
as advocated by Brazil among others.
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